11-03-2020, 05:02 PM
(11-03-2020, 04:53 PM)G.Irish Wrote: Trump only narrowly won last time by squeezing by narrow wins in 3 states. Unlikely he'll win MI and WI this time around, and he's behind in several other traditionally red states he has won. If Biden wins PA, NC, or GA and takes AZ it's probably a wrap. I don't think Texas will go blue but Florida very well could this time.
I think this time there are a number of major factors that are different than 2016 that all work against Trump.
This summarizes most of what you said: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/fin...-forecast/
'76 911S | '14 328xi | '17 GTI | In memoriam: '08 848, '85 944
"Here, at last, is the cure for texting while driving. The millions of deaths which occur every year due to the iPhone’s ability to stream the Kim K/Ray-J video in 4G could all be avoided, every last one of them, if the government issued everyone a Seventies 911 and made sure they always left the house five minutes later than they’d wanted to. It would help if it could be made to rain as well. Full attention on the road. Guaranteed." -Jack Baruth
"Here, at last, is the cure for texting while driving. The millions of deaths which occur every year due to the iPhone’s ability to stream the Kim K/Ray-J video in 4G could all be avoided, every last one of them, if the government issued everyone a Seventies 911 and made sure they always left the house five minutes later than they’d wanted to. It would help if it could be made to rain as well. Full attention on the road. Guaranteed." -Jack Baruth