How would you play Hold Em question

[KPWSerpiente]

If you don't even play a little poker...go ahead and skip. If you are like some of the millions who are jumping on the band wagon...stay with me a second and let me know how you would have played this.

You are holding 10J offsuit in the small blind. There are 4 guys including yourself at the table. Two guys put in a small bet to call the blind...you put in half as much also to call, big blind checks.

Flop is 6 8 9, two of them being spades. You don't hold a spade. You check, big blind checks, person across from you checks...dealer who was to your right goes all in on his last dollar. You have 5 dollars left yourself. You have two overcards and and open ended straight draw on the table...do you call, reraise or fold?

More importantly...tell me why you are doing what you are doing. I know some of you guys play the game....and I know some of you guys are intelligent. I know I've let some information out that could be crucial....betting history, your knowledge of what cards your opponents tend to play....but poker is a game of incomplete information so give it a shot.

Now after you've decided if you're calling or not...I'll let you you know that this exact same scenario went down last night....I was in the dealer position and I was raising to all in because I held AK of spades. After my boy made the call, holding the 10J offsuit, both other guys folded and we flipped our cards over. Can anyone tell me what the percentage chance of the 10J winning is now?

-T

[REED]

im not very big into the game, but i would have folded - i dont really know what the percentages would be, but i do know that the 10J off suit is one of the most overplayed hands in the game.

[Mike]

i would have called, most likely the guy on his last dollar is bluffing and you have a semi-decent hand.

[KPWSerpiente]

Well no one seems to interested in this topic so I'll wrap the thread up.

At the flop you've got a 51% chance of catching a pair or straight at the turn or river.
If you think you're going to need a straight to win the hand (maybe your opponent holds a high pair or a set): you have a 32% chance of catching just that on the turn or river.

As it turns out, your opponent ws on a flush draw with AK meaning you only (haha) had to catch a straight or a pair. Now because a spade would help your opponent out you are left with 4 less outs. This gives you ten total outs and you need to catch one because your jack high is not the strongest hand.

This gives you a final percentage chance of winning at a little over 20%.

If you like being a 4:1 underdog with a 2:1 pay out...by all means make that call.

For the record though...the guy holding the 10J offsuit caught the 7 he needed for a straight and won the hand...proving even if you don't know what the fuck you are doing...you can get lucky.

And Mike...if you know people who move all their chips in with a stone cold bluff (as opposed to the semi-bluff I used), introduce me. I like playing with guys like that.

-T